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06 Dec 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Vicenza
28.3%
Draw
19.1%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Vicenza

vs
0.82

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).