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AHT: 02CSV

06 Mar 2020 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.9%
Paderborn
24.5%
Draw
54.6%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Paderborn

vs
1.83

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).