Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Alanyaspor
33.0%
Draw
22.4%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Alanyaspor
vs
0.97
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.7%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).