Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Verona
28.2%
Draw
30.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Verona
vs
1.00
Monza
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).