Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.5%
Barcelona
12.3%
Draw
5.2%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Barcelona
vs
0.57
Alaves
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
3-0
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
4-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-0
4.7%
0-0
3.8%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).