Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.5%
QPR
20.7%
Draw
66.9%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
QPR
vs
2.11
Leeds
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-1
10.7%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).