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03 Aug 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.4%
GAIS
23.3%
Draw
15.3%
Norrköping

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

GAIS

vs
0.89

Norrköping

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).