Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Barnet
26.2%
Draw
36.6%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Barnet
vs
1.23
Swindon
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).