Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Coventry
24.2%
Draw
24.1%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Coventry
vs
0.91
Burton
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).