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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.3%
Shepshed Dynamo
18.5%
Draw
9.2%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Shepshed Dynamo

vs
0.53

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).