Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Morecambe
18.0%
Draw
67.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Morecambe
vs
2.22
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).