Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Plymouth
22.3%
Draw
45.6%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Plymouth
vs
1.64
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).