Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Plymouth
19.5%
Draw
15.9%
Milton United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Plymouth
vs
0.92
Milton United
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).