Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Real Madrid
15.5%
Draw
7.7%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Real Madrid
vs
0.64
Eibar
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).