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13 Mar 2021 · 17:20

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.3%
Boreham Wood
23.2%
Draw
24.5%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Boreham Wood

vs
1.34

Torquay

Markets

BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).