Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Setubal
23.5%
Draw
16.7%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Setubal
vs
0.72
Boavista
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).