Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Lorient
20.7%
Draw
44.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Lorient
vs
1.93
Marseille
Markets
BTTS69.2%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).