Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Cheltenham
24.3%
Draw
48.2%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cheltenham
vs
1.55
Crewe
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).