Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Annecy
26.1%
Draw
21.6%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Annecy
vs
0.75
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).