Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Watford
32.9%
Draw
25.2%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Watford
vs
0.82
Charlton
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).