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21 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
K. Beerschot V.A.
24.9%
Draw
41.3%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

K. Beerschot V.A.

vs
1.60

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).