Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Lincoln
23.5%
Draw
20.6%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Lincoln
vs
0.81
Bradford
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).