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06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.8%
Stockport
39.2%
Draw
35.0%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.57

Stockport

vs
0.72

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS22.1%
Over 0.573.0%
Over 1.536.9%
Over 2.514.2%
Over 3.54.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
27.0%
0-1
20.1%
1-0
16.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
0-3
1.7%
2-2
1.2%
1-3
1.0%
3-0
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).