Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Spartak Moskva
21.7%
Draw
23.5%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Spartak Moskva
vs
1.48
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS70.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).