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15 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.3%
Notts County
12.6%
Draw
5.1%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.83

Notts County

vs
0.62

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.7%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
8.5%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.8%
0-0
3.6%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).