Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Monza
20.7%
Draw
8.7%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Monza
vs
0.59
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).