Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Orenburg
20.6%
Draw
14.3%
Sochi
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Orenburg
vs
1.01
Sochi
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).