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DHT: 11

15 Sept 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala
31.7%
Draw
48.8%
Spartak Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Dynamo Makhachkala

vs
1.31

Spartak Moskva

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).