Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.1%
Grimsby
23.4%
Draw
18.5%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Grimsby
vs
0.81
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).