Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Almeria
24.1%
Draw
22.6%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Almeria
vs
1.08
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).