Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Bristol City
22.0%
Draw
11.5%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Bristol City
vs
0.68
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).