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DHT: 12CSV

30 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.4%
Solihull
21.4%
Draw
15.2%
Dover Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Solihull

vs
0.96

Dover Athletic

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).