Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Mirandes
23.7%
Draw
20.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Mirandes
vs
0.95
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).