Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Frosinone
24.0%
Draw
16.2%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Frosinone
vs
0.89
Perugia
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).