Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Vallecano
30.6%
Draw
37.5%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Vallecano
vs
1.12
Celta
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).