Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Holstein Kiel
25.8%
Draw
18.3%
Sandhausen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Holstein Kiel
vs
0.90
Sandhausen
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).