Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Degerfors
26.6%
Draw
52.8%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Degerfors
vs
1.69
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).