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HHT: 20CSV

22 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.3%
Peterhead
28.6%
Draw
25.1%
Stirling

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Peterhead

vs
1.17

Stirling

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).