Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Livorno
29.3%
Draw
23.1%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Livorno
vs
0.93
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).