Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Extremadura UD
28.4%
Draw
30.5%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Extremadura UD
vs
1.01
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).