Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Malaga
22.6%
Draw
17.1%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Malaga
vs
0.83
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).