Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Ternana
28.2%
Draw
38.2%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Ternana
vs
1.40
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).