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DHT: 00CSV

01 Mar 2016

Morton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.7%
Livingston
26.7%
Draw
11.6%
Morton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Livingston

vs
0.62

Morton

Markets

BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).