Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Harrogate
28.2%
Draw
37.0%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Harrogate
vs
1.10
Barrow
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).