Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Hertha
25.3%
Draw
23.7%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Hertha
vs
1.13
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).