Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
West Ham
22.3%
Draw
23.7%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
West Ham
vs
1.47
Luton
Markets
BTTS70.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).