Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Perugia
33.1%
Draw
27.0%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Perugia
vs
0.88
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
13.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).