Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Aalborg BK
25.3%
Draw
54.9%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Aalborg BK
vs
1.75
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).