Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Ipswich
27.2%
Draw
26.9%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Ipswich
vs
1.14
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).