Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Blackpool
21.1%
Draw
17.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Blackpool
vs
0.80
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).